{"id":8518,"date":"2020-08-15T15:21:30","date_gmt":"2020-08-15T14:21:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/?p=8518"},"modified":"2025-06-29T10:27:18","modified_gmt":"2025-06-29T09:27:18","slug":"ai-eats-insurance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/ai-eats-insurance\/","title":{"rendered":"AI Eats Insurance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"737a\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--h4\">When food delivery services talk breathlessly about machine learning, feel free to roll your eyes: it\u2019s baked salmon they\u2019re dropping off, not Bayesian statistics.<\/p>\n<p id=\"2ae4\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">Insurance is another kettle of fish altogether.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"140a\" class=\"graf graf--h4 graf-after--p\">Sultans of stats<\/h3>\n<p id=\"a83f\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--h4\">The birth of statistics is usually dated to 1662, when John Graunt calculated the probabilities of Londoners surviving to a given age. Lloyds of London started shortly thereafter, and advances in statistics and insurance have been inseparable ever since.<\/p>\n<p id=\"224f\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">But in recent years, supremacy in statistics has moved to Silicon Valley &#8211; a bad omen for the insurance establishment. True, insurers still have some of the finest human statisticians, but the finest statisticians of all are no longer human. They\u2019re machines.<\/p>\n<p id=\"0959\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">Insurers, of course, have machines too, but the machine\u2019s \u2018secret power\u2019 is its ability to extract prophetic insights from inhuman quantities of data. If the data isn\u2019t \u2018Big,&#8217; the machine will function as a calculator, not an oracle.<\/p>\n<p id=\"dee5\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">Which brings us to the crux of the problem: insurance companies, born in the era of the horse-drawn carriage, were not\u00a0<em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">built\u00a0<\/em>to capture Big Data.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"9aa6\" class=\"graf graf--h4 graf-after--p\">Loss ratios are like testicles<\/h3>\n<p id=\"bc11\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--h4\">Case in point: an executive at one of the largest insurers told me that \u201cother\u201d is their most common cause for a claim. People (unlike bots) lazily tick that catch-all-box, rendering their data useless.<\/p>\n<p id=\"8527\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--figure\">Tons of useful data are lost too: often they\u2019re not machine readable; other times, it\u2019s the humans who can\u2019t read them (swallowed by a system whose architect retired in the 90s).<\/p>\n<p id=\"b931\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">The exec went on to say their \u2018loss ratio\u2019 was 54% (in other words, if you paid 85 \u20ac in premiums, they\u2019d spend\u200a, on average\u200a, 46 \u20ac on your claims). Among insurers, this passes for small talk, so he was a little taken aback when I countered that his customers have\u200a, \u200aon average, one testicle. I explained that knowing your customer \u2018on average\u2019 offers little insight. Worse, under the guise of a \u2018statistical fact,&#8217; a generalized average often paints a misleading picture.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">A loss ratio\u200a &#8211; \u200athe gold-standard insurance metric\u200a &#8211; is no substitute for deep, textured and rich data. The very kind insurance companies are ill-equipped to collect.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"074e\" class=\"graf graf--h4 graf-after--p\">Digital divination<\/h3>\n<p id=\"4cda\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--h4\">Some insurance buyers take time to understand their coverage, others don\u2019t. Is that predictive? What do our tech choices say about our risk profile?<\/p>\n<p id=\"2d56\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--figure\">There are endless such questions, and in a fully digital lifecycle,\u00a0<em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">they all get answered<\/em>. Unlike traditional insurers, tech companies won\u2019t make do with a global \u2018loss ratio.\u2019 They will monitor the loss ratio per device, browser, and advertising campaign. They will compare the loss ratio of people who press hard on the screen, to those who don\u2019t; the loss ratio of those who bought insurance from home, to those who bought it on their commute; those who bought it at 4pm, to those who bought it at 2am. Not only will the machine answer all these questions, it will answer a myriad more we didn\u2019t know to ask.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2277 size-full\" src=\"\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/Untitled-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"482\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/Untitled-1.jpg 482w, https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/Untitled-1-300x280.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 482px) 100vw, 482px\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"aaac\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">Tech companies gather\u00a0<em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">thousands of times<\/em>\u00a0more data than traditional insurers, producing nuanced profiles of their customers, and remarkably predictive insights.<\/p>\n\t<div class=\"tweet-block-container\">\r\n\t\t<div class=\"tweet-content\">\r\n\t\t\t<p><i class=\"fa fa-quote-left\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Calculating+the+probability+of+future+outcomes+is+the+core+of+insurance%2C+yet+incumbents+will+find+it+increasingly+difficult+to+remain+competitive.&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.lemonade.com%2Fde%2Fblog%2Fai-eats-insurance%2F&via=Lemonade_Inc\" target=\"_blank\">Calculating the probability of future outcomes is the core of insurance, yet incumbents will find it increasingly difficult to remain competitive.<\/a><i class=\"fa fa-quote-right\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/p>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\r\n\t\t<div><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Calculating+the+probability+of+future+outcomes+is+the+core+of+insurance%2C+yet+incumbents+will+find+it+increasingly+difficult+to+remain+competitive.&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.lemonade.com%2Fde%2Fblog%2Fai-eats-insurance%2F&via=Lemonade_Inc\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tweet_now_link\"><i class=\"fa fa-lg fa-twitter\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><span>Tweet this!<\/span><\/a><\/div>\r\n\t<\/div>\r\n  \n<p>It\u2019s hard to think of a domain that isn\u2019t being upended this way. Want to predict if this year\u2019s cabernet will be a winner? The centuries-old method calls for a connoisseur to swish and spit. Orley Ashenfelter used a multivariate regression to derive a simple equation that outperforms the aficionados:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2258 size-large\" src=\"\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/wine-1024x302.png\" alt=\"wine quality and mathematics - lemonade blog\" width=\"1024\" height=\"302\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/wine-1024x302.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/wine-300x88.png 300w, https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/wine-768x226.png 768w, https:\/\/www.lemonade.com\/de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/wine.png 1083w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"b328\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--figure\">When the product is wine, the machine can put some noses out of joint. When the product is\u00a0<em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">probability<\/em>, the machine can\u00a0<em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">transform the industry<\/em>.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"09be\" class=\"graf graf--h4 graf-after--p\">Grab your popcorn, Act 2 is beginning<\/h3>\n<p id=\"9134\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--h4\">In recent years the insurance industry has paid close attention to insurance-tech-startups. They take note of how being digital transforms the user experience, appeals to younger consumers, and removes costs, while expediting everything. That\u2019s all true, but it is only Act 1.<\/p>\n<p id=\"0e6d\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">While everyone is bedazzled by the tech of Act 1, these delightful apps are generating mountains of data. These will soon reach the billions of entries that machines go to town on, and that\u2019s when Act 2 will begin.<\/p>\n<p id=\"e0b8\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">Act 1 showcases the power of technology to transform\u00a0<em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">any<\/em>\u00a0business by reducing costs, increasing speed, and delighting consumers. But when Act 2 begins, we will see the power of AI to transform insurance in a\u00a0<em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">uniquely\u00a0<\/em>powerful way. It will go beyond thrilling customers and driving efficiencies, to being able to quantify risk like never before. That day is nigh.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tech companies gather\u00a0thousands of times\u00a0more data than traditional insurers, producing nuanced profiles of their customers and remarkably predictive insights.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":2281,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-8518","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-english","8":"post-hentry"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>AI Eats Insurance | Lemonade Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In recent years, supremacy in statistics has moved to Silicon Valley - a bad omen for the insurance establishment. 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